Paulo Sergeant
PART I
With the approach of documentary on the book “a Truth of the Lie” (that, vivamente, I advise, to ALL), the British mass media have gone, in mass, to try to protect, more than ever, the image of the McCann. In addition, the own Dr. Gerry McCann has assumed that were “errors on both sides”, as Duarte Levy says, today, day 13 of April of 2009, in the newspaper “24 hours”. Why it will be?
Although, this defense in block on the part of British newspapers is realised through an attack, ignorant and, often, lying, to the ex- investigator of the PJ Gonçalo Amaral, by the same means. Or I affirmed that the traditional Portuguese almanac “Or Hut d'Agua” has interest much more del that most of has the press to which I talk about. Even so, I do not stop indicating such production mediatic as the reflection of, I am safe, enormous fear that so documentary it would be causing by the side of the McCann.
The Dr. Gerry McCann was in Portugal the weekend previous to Passover with, assumption, intention to realise a reconstruction of the events of the prophetic night of the 3 of May of 2007. Actually, the Dr. Gerry McCann, Jane Tanner and the Dr. Mathew Oldfield came like advisers for the accomplishment of a documentary envelope which they mean envelope which spent that one night. Such fact constitutes, as Karl Popper would say, a fort attacks to falsify the necessary tests, fatally is vitiated by the confirmation epistemology (um attacks forte à falsificabilidade necessária à scientific evidência, pois mortally is sickened of confirming epistemology). What means this?
He means, of a very simple form, that nobody can be judge in own cause and that the documentary one will reflect, obligatorily, which the “advisers think on the facts without no intervention of contradictory nature. Or what is equal, that is not a reconstruction because: the participants are not all presents, those that came have a theory nonbased on facts, one of them is, demostradamente, inconsistent in their testimony (Jane Tanner) and the script of the documentary one is not questionable by methodologies critics nor by impartial observers. In conclusion, one is a LIE that will favor, like a supposed reconstruction of the BBC, the figure of a raptor assumption that one hides in an apartment in front of the back entrance of 5A (And it does not see anybody it), it studies the landlords of the family and of the covers they seven (what it is improbable considering the high number of participants and the exigüidad of days in which this could become - four), rapta to Maddie in a margin of relatively short time, leaves by the window, transporting the girl in arms, according to the testimony of Jane Tanner, and flees through a cane plantation, according to the testimony and two British citizens who do not have anything to do with the case. I am certainly will emphasize two moments: when Gerry McCann enters the apartment and is somebody present, and when Jane Tanner sees the raptor assumption. The atmosphere of the documentary one will be tense and show to the infelicidad and sadness of parents who are sorry, deeply, not to have been at the right moment, the place where they had to be. It will not bring anything to us new, like it did not bring to us, the mentioned campaign. Another PAYASADA for the “Eyes of the English”.
In October of 2007, along with professor Pedro Gamito and his equipment (Diogo Morais, Jorge Oliveira, Saraiva Takings and Miguel Pombal), I realised a reconstruction 3D of the two hours, supposedly, previous to the disappearance of Madeleine Beth McCann. With the data available on the basis of four credible sources, two Portuguese and two English (“Public”, “Sun”, “Times online” and BBC”), without no a priori theory and with the intention to describe the events we could verify that:
- The McCann lay in his first declarations (from where they had dinner was IMPOSSIBLE to see the apartment 5A and the distance separated that them from its children was of 84 meters in line straight, 114 meters walking, and not near 50 as they say);
- The number of displacements of the members of Tapas nine (14) in two hours, in view to, the supposed monitoring of the children, offered, of average, a margin of time inferior to 7 minutes without monitoring. In spite of everything, if we entered going and coming from these movements and the high probability of other passers-by walking in that one place, also he was visible from the buildings that it had opposite where it could have much people in the window, we verified that, by the theorem of the conditional probability of Bayes (taking as hypothetical possible events from the kidnappings in Praia it gives to Light, that one week), the possibility that a raptor (very premeditadedly or not) had entered the apartment, would take to the girl, would leave by the window, would not leave vestiges and without being seen, it would be inferior to the possibility that a cat fell on the keyboard of a piano with five eighth and would touch the introduction of four notes of the fifth symphony of Beethoven. It is clear that the complica problem being itself the parents who talked about, from the beginning, and very insistently, to the kidnapping.
But there was another problem. How long would take somebody in hide-and-seek a body in a place like the Church? The same equipment realised a simulation where, in two different routes, somebody took a body in a car, at an average speed of 50 Km/h (maximum allowed in the localities), would take almost 27 seconds in realising that passage. If we imagined a margin of time of 7 minutes, would conclude that it would be possible that somebody took to Maddie until the Church and returned to the Ocean Club in this space of time, even because some of the participants absented of the restaurant per periods superiors to 20 minutes.
For today I remain here, promising to return to demonstrate again that the sightings “were invented” and that the picture-robot process is the most ridiculous invention of all this.
Before dismissing, it would advise to me that ALL see the documentary one that it will emit TVI today I leave some restlessness you:
a) For three months, in one it has been frying night of Friday, it took a coffee with a Friend, when via telephone, we received the news, not confirmed, from England, of a sudden and critical worsening of the state of health of Kate McCann, that would have lead to a situation limit. This type of reference has been frequent in some means, without to have been possible to confirm is what outside, in no hospital. However, Kate been strangely has separated and it has been seen the binoculars, but not to the Mother. The references to the “depressions of Kate” have constituted another one of the deceits of this case.
b) Method 3 no longer consists in the page Web findmadeleine. What happened?
c) The page Web findmadeleine anticipates, now, in its main page, new t-shirts of the named campaign in the town of Light
d) R. Murat processed some average Portuguese, the McCann NO!
Until soon.
Translation of Mercedes
in order to make commentaries: Here
With the approach of documentary on the book “a Truth of the Lie” (that, vivamente, I advise, to ALL), the British mass media have gone, in mass, to try to protect, more than ever, the image of the McCann. In addition, the own Dr. Gerry McCann has assumed that were “errors on both sides”, as Duarte Levy says, today, day 13 of April of 2009, in the newspaper “24 hours”. Why it will be?
Although, this defense in block on the part of British newspapers is realised through an attack, ignorant and, often, lying, to the ex- investigator of the PJ Gonçalo Amaral, by the same means. Or I affirmed that the traditional Portuguese almanac “Or Hut d'Agua” has interest much more del that most of has the press to which I talk about. Even so, I do not stop indicating such production mediatic as the reflection of, I am safe, enormous fear that so documentary it would be causing by the side of the McCann.
The Dr. Gerry McCann was in Portugal the weekend previous to Passover with, assumption, intention to realise a reconstruction of the events of the prophetic night of the 3 of May of 2007. Actually, the Dr. Gerry McCann, Jane Tanner and the Dr. Mathew Oldfield came like advisers for the accomplishment of a documentary envelope which they mean envelope which spent that one night. Such fact constitutes, as Karl Popper would say, a fort attacks to falsify the necessary tests, fatally is vitiated by the confirmation epistemology (um attacks forte à falsificabilidade necessária à scientific evidência, pois mortally is sickened of confirming epistemology). What means this?
He means, of a very simple form, that nobody can be judge in own cause and that the documentary one will reflect, obligatorily, which the “advisers think on the facts without no intervention of contradictory nature. Or what is equal, that is not a reconstruction because: the participants are not all presents, those that came have a theory nonbased on facts, one of them is, demostradamente, inconsistent in their testimony (Jane Tanner) and the script of the documentary one is not questionable by methodologies critics nor by impartial observers. In conclusion, one is a LIE that will favor, like a supposed reconstruction of the BBC, the figure of a raptor assumption that one hides in an apartment in front of the back entrance of 5A (And it does not see anybody it), it studies the landlords of the family and of the covers they seven (what it is improbable considering the high number of participants and the exigüidad of days in which this could become - four), rapta to Maddie in a margin of relatively short time, leaves by the window, transporting the girl in arms, according to the testimony of Jane Tanner, and flees through a cane plantation, according to the testimony and two British citizens who do not have anything to do with the case. I am certainly will emphasize two moments: when Gerry McCann enters the apartment and is somebody present, and when Jane Tanner sees the raptor assumption. The atmosphere of the documentary one will be tense and show to the infelicidad and sadness of parents who are sorry, deeply, not to have been at the right moment, the place where they had to be. It will not bring anything to us new, like it did not bring to us, the mentioned campaign. Another PAYASADA for the “Eyes of the English”.
In October of 2007, along with professor Pedro Gamito and his equipment (Diogo Morais, Jorge Oliveira, Saraiva Takings and Miguel Pombal), I realised a reconstruction 3D of the two hours, supposedly, previous to the disappearance of Madeleine Beth McCann. With the data available on the basis of four credible sources, two Portuguese and two English (“Public”, “Sun”, “Times online” and BBC”), without no a priori theory and with the intention to describe the events we could verify that:
- The McCann lay in his first declarations (from where they had dinner was IMPOSSIBLE to see the apartment 5A and the distance separated that them from its children was of 84 meters in line straight, 114 meters walking, and not near 50 as they say);
- The number of displacements of the members of Tapas nine (14) in two hours, in view to, the supposed monitoring of the children, offered, of average, a margin of time inferior to 7 minutes without monitoring. In spite of everything, if we entered going and coming from these movements and the high probability of other passers-by walking in that one place, also he was visible from the buildings that it had opposite where it could have much people in the window, we verified that, by the theorem of the conditional probability of Bayes (taking as hypothetical possible events from the kidnappings in Praia it gives to Light, that one week), the possibility that a raptor (very premeditadedly or not) had entered the apartment, would take to the girl, would leave by the window, would not leave vestiges and without being seen, it would be inferior to the possibility that a cat fell on the keyboard of a piano with five eighth and would touch the introduction of four notes of the fifth symphony of Beethoven. It is clear that the complica problem being itself the parents who talked about, from the beginning, and very insistently, to the kidnapping.
But there was another problem. How long would take somebody in hide-and-seek a body in a place like the Church? The same equipment realised a simulation where, in two different routes, somebody took a body in a car, at an average speed of 50 Km/h (maximum allowed in the localities), would take almost 27 seconds in realising that passage. If we imagined a margin of time of 7 minutes, would conclude that it would be possible that somebody took to Maddie until the Church and returned to the Ocean Club in this space of time, even because some of the participants absented of the restaurant per periods superiors to 20 minutes.
For today I remain here, promising to return to demonstrate again that the sightings “were invented” and that the picture-robot process is the most ridiculous invention of all this.
Before dismissing, it would advise to me that ALL see the documentary one that it will emit TVI today I leave some restlessness you:
a) For three months, in one it has been frying night of Friday, it took a coffee with a Friend, when via telephone, we received the news, not confirmed, from England, of a sudden and critical worsening of the state of health of Kate McCann, that would have lead to a situation limit. This type of reference has been frequent in some means, without to have been possible to confirm is what outside, in no hospital. However, Kate been strangely has separated and it has been seen the binoculars, but not to the Mother. The references to the “depressions of Kate” have constituted another one of the deceits of this case.
b) Method 3 no longer consists in the page Web findmadeleine. What happened?
c) The page Web findmadeleine anticipates, now, in its main page, new t-shirts of the named campaign in the town of Light
d) R. Murat processed some average Portuguese, the McCann NO!
Until soon.
Translation of Mercedes
in order to make commentaries: Here
